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Now showing 1 - 10 of 23
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 19
    Citation - Scopus: 21
    Mean Instantaneous Performance of a System With Weighted Components That Have Arbitrarily Distributed Lifetimes
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2013) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    There are various systems consisting of components which may have different contribution to the performance of the system. Such systems can be modeled systems with weighted components. In this paper, we study the mean instantaneous performance of this type of systems after successive component failures. The mean instantaneous performance is a useful characteristic to take preventive action about the system. In particular, we obtain explicit expressions for the mean instantaneous performance of a system with weighted components that have arbitrarily distributed lifetimes. We illustrate the results when the lifetime distribution of components follow proportional hazard model. Some further results are also presented for the components having exponential lifetime distribution. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 5
    Citation - Scopus: 6
    Parallel and Consecutive-k-out-of-n< Systems Under Stochastic Deterioration
    (Elsevier Science inc, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, we study parallel and consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems consisting of components which are subject to random deterioration with time. The random deterioration in resistance of a component is defined through a stochastic process. We obtain lifetime distribution of a parallel system via classical probabilistic techniques. The lifetime distribution of a consecutive-k-out-of-n:F system is derived using the lifetime distribution of parallel systems and the concept of maximal signature. We also study the optimal replacement time for a parallel system. We present illustrative computational results using MATHCAD. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 11
    Citation - Scopus: 11
    Reliability and Performance Evaluation of Weighted K-out-of- N :g System Consisting of Components With Discrete Lifetimes
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2024) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    For the k-out-of-n n system consisting of components that have different weights, the system is in a good state if the total weight of working components is at least k . Such a system is known to be weighted k-out-of- n :G system. Although the weighted k-out-of-n n system that has continuously distributed components' lifetimes has been extensively studied, the discrete weighted k-out-of- n :G system has not been considered yet. The present paper fills this gap by modeling and analyzing the weighted k-out-of-n:G n :G system that consists of discretely distributed components' lifetimes. In particular, the behavior of the total capacity/weight of the system with respect to the component failures is evaluated. An optimization problem that is concerned with the determination of optimal number of spare components is also formulated by utilizing the mean lost capacity of the system.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 18
    Citation - Scopus: 21
    Modeling Dependence Between Two Multi-State Components Via Copulas
    (Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    Modeling statistical dependence between two systems or components is an important problem in reliability theory. Such a problem has been well studied for binary systems and components. In the present paper, we provide a way for modeling s-dependence between two multi-state components. Our method is based on the use of copulas which are very popular for modeling s-dependence. We obtain expressions for the joint state probabilities of the two components, and illustrate the results for the case when the degradation in both components follows a Markov process.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 44
    Citation - Scopus: 52
    The Number of Failed Components in a Coherent System With Exchangeable Components
    (Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2012) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    This paper is concerned with the number of components that are failed at the time of system failure. We study the corresponding quantity for a coherent structure via the system signature. Furthermore, we study the distribution of the number of failures after a specified time until the system failure. We illustrate the results for well-known general classes of coherent systems such as linear consecutive k-within-m-out-of- n:F, and m-consecutive-k-out-of-: n:F.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 24
    Citation - Scopus: 30
    Dynamic Assessment of Multi-State Systems Using Phase-Type Modeling
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2015) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    Multi-state systems have attracted great attention due to their wide applications in engineering. They have been effectively used in modeling various systems such as power supply systems and transportation systems. In this paper, phase type modeling is proposed for dynamic assessment of nonrepairable multi-state systems when the system degrades According to a Markov process. The utility of phase type modeling is demonstrated in the computation of mean lifetimes, mean residual lifetimes, and derivation of survival functions of series and parallel systems. A stochastic comparison result between two systems is also obtained using phase representations of survival functions. Extensive numerical results are presented to illustrate the applicability of the approach. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 9
    Citation - Scopus: 9
    Mixture Representations for Three-State Systems With Three-State Components
    (Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2015) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    This paper is concerned with dynamic reliability modeling of three-state systems consisting of three-state s-independent components. The components and the systems are assumed to be in three states: perfect functioning, partial performance, and complete failure. Survival functions of such systems are studied in different state subsets. It is shown that the survival function of a three-state system with a general structure can be represented as a mixture of the survival functions of the three-state k-out-of-n:G systems. The results are illustrated for the three-state consecutive-k-out-of-n:G systems whose components degrade according to a Markov process.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 34
    Citation - Scopus: 42
    Reliability Analysis of Multi-State System With Three-State Components and Its Application To Wind Energy
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2018) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In most real life situations, the system's components contribute differently in different performance levels. Such a situation can be modeled by systems with multi-state components having more than one working status, e.g. perfect functioning, and partial working. In this paper, a multi-state system that consists of two types of three-state components is defined and studied. An explicit formula for the probability that the performance of the system is at least a given level is obtained for the most general case when the components are statistically dependent. The model is applied to evaluate the wind power system that consists of two wind plants in different regions. An optimization problem is formulated to find the optimal number of wind turbines that must be installed in the wind plants by minimizing the total cost under specific power production. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 7
    Citation - Scopus: 8
    A new look at dynamic behavior of binary coherent system from a state-level perspective
    (Springer, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper we study lifetime properties of binary coherent systems from a state-level perspective. We define and study a system whose performance levels are determined by its total number of working components and structure. That is, the more working components the better performance level for the system. This enables us to make a more detailed analysis of a binary system. We obtain the distributions of the time that is spent by the system in a specific state subset and a specific state. Our analysis is based on the use of system signature. We also define an optimization problem concerned with the determination of the number of warm standby components.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 56
    Citation - Scopus: 60
    Assessment of a Multi-State System Under a Shock Model
    (Elsevier Science inc, 2015) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    A system is subject to random shocks over time. Let c(1) and c(2) be two critical levels such that c(1) < c(2). A shock with a magnitude between c(1) and c(2) has a partial damage on the system, and the system transits into a lower partially working state upon the occurrence of each shock in (c(1), c(2)). A shock with a magnitude above c(2) has a catastrophic affect on the system and it causes a complete failure. Such a shock model creates a multi-state system having random number of states. The lifetime, the time spent by the system in a perfect functioning state, and the total time spent by the system in partially working states are defined and their survival functions are derived when the interarrival times between successive shocks follow phasetype distribution. (C) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.