166 results
Search Results
Now showing 1 - 10 of 166
Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 2On the First Time of Ruin in Two-Dimensional Discrete Time Risk Model With Dependent Claim Occurrences(Taylor & Francis inc, 2018) Eryilmaz, SerkanThis article is concerned with a two-dimensional discrete time risk model based on exchangeable dependent claim occurrences. In particular, we obtain a recursive expression for the finite time non ruin probability under such a dependence among claim occurrences. For an illustration, we define a bivariate compound beta-binomial risk model and present numerical results on this model by comparing the corresponding results of the bivariate compound binomial risk model.Article Citation - WoS: 29Citation - Scopus: 31Computing Marginal and Joint Birnbaum, and Barlow-Proschan Importances in Weighted-k-out-of-n< Systems(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Bozbulut, Ali RizaA weighted-k-out-of-n:G system is a system that consists of n binary components, each with its own positive weight, and operates only when the total weight of working components is at least k. Such a structure is useful when the components have different contributions to the performance of the entire system. This paper is concerned with both marginal and joint Birnbaum, and Barlow-Proschan (BP) importances of the components in weighted- k-out-of-n:G systems. The method of universal generating function is used for computing marginal and joint Birnbaum importances. The method for computing BP-importance is based on a direct probabilistic approach. Extensive numerical calculations are presented. By the help of these calculations and illustrations, it is possible to observe how the marginal and joint importances change with respect to the weights of components. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 5Component Importance in Coherent Systems With Exchangeable Components(Cambridge Univ Press, 2015) Eryilmaz, SerkanThis paper is concerned with the Birnbaum importance measure of a component in a binary coherent system. A representation for the Birnbaum importance of a component is obtained when the system consists of exchangeable dependent components. The results are closely related to the concept of the signature of a coherent system. Some examples are presented to illustrate the results.Article Citation - WoS: 61Citation - Scopus: 64Computing Optimal Replacement Time and Mean Residual Life in Reliability Shock Models(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2017) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, matrix-based methods are presented to compute the optimal replacement time and mean residual lifetime of a system under particular class of reliability shock models. The times between successive shocks are assumed to have a common continuous phase-type distribution. The system's lifetime is represented as a compound random variable and some properties of phase-type distributions are utilized. Extreme shock model, run shock model, and generalized extreme shock model are shown to be the members of this class. Graphical illustrations and numerical examples are presented for the run shock model when the interarrival times between shocks follow Erlang distribution. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 30Citation - Scopus: 34Discrete Time Shock Models in a Markovian Environment(Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2016) Eryilmaz, SerkanThis paper deals with two different shock models in a Markovian environment. We study a system from a reliability point of view under these two shock models. According to the first model, the system fails if the cumulative shock magnitude exceeds a critical level, while in the second model the failure occurs when the cumulative effect of the shocks in consecutive periods is above a critical level. The shock occurrences over discrete time periods are assumed to be Markovian. We obtain expressions for the failure time distributions of the system under the two model. Illustrative computational results are presented for the survival probabilities and mean time to failure values of the system.Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 6Reliability Analysis of Systems With Components Having Two Dependent Subcomponents(Taylor & Francis inc, 2017) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this article, a system that consists of n independent components each having two dependent subcomponents (A(i), B-i), i = 1, ... ,n is considered. The system is assumed to compose of components that have two correlated subcomponents (A(i), B-i), and functions iff both systems of subcomponents A(1),A(2), ... ,A(n) and B-1, B-2, ... , B-n work under certain structural rules. The expressions for reiiabiiity and mean time to failure of such systems are obtained. A sufficient condition to compare two systems of bivariate components in terms of stochastic ordering is also ordering presented.Article Citation - WoS: 66Citation - Scopus: 76Multivariate Copula Based Dynamic Reliability Modeling With Application To Weighted-k-out-of-n< Systems of Dependent Components(Elsevier, 2014) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, a multivariate copula based modeling methodology for dynamic reliability modeling of weighted-k-out-of-n systems is applied. The system under consideration is assumed to have n dependent components each having its own weight. It has a performance level of at least k when the total weight of operating components is k or above. Copula based expressions for the survival function and mean time to failure of such a system are obtained. Extensive numerical results are presented for Clayton and Gumbel type copulas. The behavior of survival function and mean time to failure are investigated with respect to the value of Kendall's correlation coefficient. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 14Citation - Scopus: 14The Number of Failed Components in Series-Parallel System and Its Application To Optimal Design(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2020) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Ozkurt, Fatma Yerlikaya; Erkan, T. ErmanThe number of components that are failed at the time of system failure is a useful quantity since it gives an idea of how many spares should be available to replace all failed components upon the system failure. In this paper, the number of failed components is considered at subsystem and system levels for the series-parallel system that consists of K subsystems. In particular, the joint behavior of the number of failed components in each subsystem is studied when each subsystem has identical components and different subsystems have different types of components. The results are then used to find the optimal number of components in each subsystem by minimizing an expected cost per unit of time upon the system failure.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 2On Bivariate Compound Sums(Elsevier, 2020) Tank, Fatih; Eryilmaz, SerkanThe study of compound sums have always been very popular in the literature. Many models in insurance and engineering have been represented and solved by compound sums. In this paper, two different bivariate compound sums are proposed and studied. The phase-type distribution is applied to obtain the probability generating function of the bivariate sum. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 2Computing Waiting Time Probabilities Related To (k1< k2< ..., kl< Pattern(Springer, 2023) Chadjiconstantinidis, Stathis; Eryilmaz, SerkanFor a sequence of multi-state trials with l possible outcomes denoted by {1, 2, ..., l}, let E be the event that at least k(1) consecutive is followed by at least k(2) consecutive 2s,..., followed by at least k(l) consecutive ls. Denote by T-r the number of trials for the rth occurrence of the event E in a sequence of multi-state trials. This paper studies the distribution of the waiting time random variable T-r when the sequence consists of independent and identically distributed multi-state trials. In particular, distributional properties of T-r are examined via matrix-geometric distributions.
