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Now showing 1 - 10 of 75
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 19
    Citation - Scopus: 21
    Mean Instantaneous Performance of a System With Weighted Components That Have Arbitrarily Distributed Lifetimes
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2013) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    There are various systems consisting of components which may have different contribution to the performance of the system. Such systems can be modeled systems with weighted components. In this paper, we study the mean instantaneous performance of this type of systems after successive component failures. The mean instantaneous performance is a useful characteristic to take preventive action about the system. In particular, we obtain explicit expressions for the mean instantaneous performance of a system with weighted components that have arbitrarily distributed lifetimes. We illustrate the results when the lifetime distribution of components follow proportional hazard model. Some further results are also presented for the components having exponential lifetime distribution. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 5
    Citation - Scopus: 6
    Parallel and Consecutive-k-out-of-n< Systems Under Stochastic Deterioration
    (Elsevier Science inc, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, we study parallel and consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems consisting of components which are subject to random deterioration with time. The random deterioration in resistance of a component is defined through a stochastic process. We obtain lifetime distribution of a parallel system via classical probabilistic techniques. The lifetime distribution of a consecutive-k-out-of-n:F system is derived using the lifetime distribution of parallel systems and the concept of maximal signature. We also study the optimal replacement time for a parallel system. We present illustrative computational results using MATHCAD. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 20
    Citation - Scopus: 20
    (k1< k2< km< System and Its Reliability
    (Elsevier Science Bv, 2019) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    This paper is concerned with a system consisting of multiple types of components and having (k(1), k(2),..., k(m))-out-of-n structure. The (k(1), k(2),.., k(m))-out-of-n system is a system consisting of n components of type i, i = 1, 2,..., m, and functions if at least k(1) components of type 1, k(2) components of type 2,..., k(m) components of type m work, n = Sigma(n)(i=1) n(i). The exact and approximate expressions are obtained for the survival function of the system under concern. The weighted-(k(1), k(2),..., k(m))-out-of-n system is also defined and studied. This weighted model is applied to evaluate the wind power system that consists of two wind plants. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 1
    Citation - Scopus: 2
    On the First Time of Ruin in Two-Dimensional Discrete Time Risk Model With Dependent Claim Occurrences
    (Taylor & Francis inc, 2018) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    This article is concerned with a two-dimensional discrete time risk model based on exchangeable dependent claim occurrences. In particular, we obtain a recursive expression for the finite time non ruin probability under such a dependence among claim occurrences. For an illustration, we define a bivariate compound beta-binomial risk model and present numerical results on this model by comparing the corresponding results of the bivariate compound binomial risk model.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 61
    Citation - Scopus: 64
    Computing Optimal Replacement Time and Mean Residual Life in Reliability Shock Models
    (Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2017) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, matrix-based methods are presented to compute the optimal replacement time and mean residual lifetime of a system under particular class of reliability shock models. The times between successive shocks are assumed to have a common continuous phase-type distribution. The system's lifetime is represented as a compound random variable and some properties of phase-type distributions are utilized. Extreme shock model, run shock model, and generalized extreme shock model are shown to be the members of this class. Graphical illustrations and numerical examples are presented for the run shock model when the interarrival times between shocks follow Erlang distribution. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 66
    Citation - Scopus: 76
    Multivariate Copula Based Dynamic Reliability Modeling With Application To Weighted-k-out-of-n< Systems of Dependent Components
    (Elsevier, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, a multivariate copula based modeling methodology for dynamic reliability modeling of weighted-k-out-of-n systems is applied. The system under consideration is assumed to have n dependent components each having its own weight. It has a performance level of at least k when the total weight of operating components is k or above. Copula based expressions for the survival function and mean time to failure of such a system are obtained. Extensive numerical results are presented for Clayton and Gumbel type copulas. The behavior of survival function and mean time to failure are investigated with respect to the value of Kendall's correlation coefficient. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 13
    Citation - Scopus: 14
    On Mean Residual Life of Discrete Time Multi-State Systems
    (Nctu-national Chiao Tung Univ Press, 2013) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    The mean residual life function is an important characteristic in reliability and survival analysis. Although many papers have studied the mean residual life of binary systems, the study of this characteristic for multi-state systems is new. In this paper, we study mean residual life of discrete time multi-state systems that have M + 1 states of working efficiency. In particular, we consider two different definitions of mean residual life function and evaluate them assuming that the degradation in multi-state system follows a Markov process.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 11
    Citation - Scopus: 11
    Reliability and Performance Evaluation of Weighted K-out-of- N :g System Consisting of Components With Discrete Lifetimes
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2024) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    For the k-out-of-n n system consisting of components that have different weights, the system is in a good state if the total weight of working components is at least k . Such a system is known to be weighted k-out-of- n :G system. Although the weighted k-out-of-n n system that has continuously distributed components' lifetimes has been extensively studied, the discrete weighted k-out-of- n :G system has not been considered yet. The present paper fills this gap by modeling and analyzing the weighted k-out-of-n:G n :G system that consists of discretely distributed components' lifetimes. In particular, the behavior of the total capacity/weight of the system with respect to the component failures is evaluated. An optimization problem that is concerned with the determination of optimal number of spare components is also formulated by utilizing the mean lost capacity of the system.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 22
    Citation - Scopus: 24
    Computing reliability indices of repairable systems via signature
    (Elsevier Science Bv, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    The purpose of this paper is to show the usefulness of system signature for computing some important reliability indices of repairable systems. In particular, we obtain signature-based expressions for stationary availability, rate of occurrence of failure, and mean time to the first failure of repairable systems. Using these expressions we compute corresponding reliability indices of all systems with three and four components. Computational results are also presented for consecutive-k-within-m-out-of-n:F and m-consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 4
    Citation - Scopus: 4
    On compound sums under dependence
    (Elsevier, 2017) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, we study the compound random variable S = Sigma(N)(t-1) Y-t when there is a dependence between a random variable N and a sequence of random variables {Y-t}(t >= 1). Such a compound random variable has been found to be useful in several fields including actuarial science, risk management, and reliability. In particular, we develop some results on distributional properties of the random variable S when N is a phase-type random variable that is defined on a sequence of binary trials and depends on {Y-t}(t >= 1). We "present illustrative examples and an application for the use of results in actuarial science. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.