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Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 2Estimation in the Partially Nonlinear Model by Continuous Optimization(Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2021) Yerlikaya-Ozkurt, Fatma; Taylan, Pakize; Tez, MujganA useful model for data analysis is the partially nonlinear model where response variable is represented as the sum of a nonparametric and a parametric component. In this study, we propose a new procedure for estimating the parameters in the partially nonlinear models. Therefore, we consider penalized profile nonlinear least square problem where nonparametric components are expressed as a B-spline basis function, and then estimation problem is expressed in terms of conic quadratic programming which is a continuous optimization problem and solved interior point method. An application study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed method by considering some well-known performance measures. The results are compared against parametric nonlinear model.Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 2Enhancing Classification Modeling Through Feature Selection and Smoothness: a Conic-Fused Lasso Approach Integrated With Mean Shift Outlier Modelling(Amer inst Mathematical Sciences-aims, 2025) Yerlikaya-Ozkurt, Fatma; Taylan, PakizeOutlier detection and variable selection are among main objectives of statistical analysis. In our study, we address the outlier problem for classification by using the Mean Shift Outlier Model (CLMSOM). Since the MSOM has more coefficients than the linear regression model, the complexity of the model MSOM is high. Therefore, we consider feature selection for MSOM by using fused Lasso (FLasso), which is beneficial and helpful in the cases where the number of explanatory variables or features is greater than the sample size. FLasso is penalizing both the coefficients and their successive differences by the L-1-norm, and it allows sparsity for both of them, while Lasso only allows the coefficients by considering a nonsmooth optimization problem. In this study, we take into account Iterated Ridge approximation which enables us to use a smooth optimization for FLasso problem. Generated smooth optimization problem is solved by using one of continuous optimization techniques called Conic Quadratic Programming (CQP), which is enabling the utilization of interior point methods. The newly developed method is called Conic FLasso for classification by MSOM (C-FLasso-CLMSOM) and is applied to real world data set to show its performance.Article Citation - WoS: 17Citation - Scopus: 17A New Outlier Detection Method Based on Convex Optimization: Application To Diagnosis of Parkinson's Disease(Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2021) Taylan, Pakize; Yerlikaya-Ozkurt, Fatma; Bilgic Ucak, Burcu; Weber, Gerhard-WilhelmNeuroscience is a combination of different scientific disciplines which investigate the nervous system for understanding of the biological basis. Recently, applications to the diagnosis of neurodegenerative diseases like Parkinson's disease have become very promising by considering different statistical regression models. However, well-known statistical regression models may give misleading results for the diagnosis of the neurodegenerative diseases when experimental data contain outlier observations that lie an abnormal distance from the other observation. The main achievements of this study consist of a novel mathematics-supported approach beside statistical regression models to identify and treat the outlier observations without direct elimination for a great and emerging challenge in humankind, such as neurodegenerative diseases. By this approach, a new method named as CMTMSOM is proposed with the contributions of the powerful convex and continuous optimization techniques referred to as conic quadratic programing. This method, based on the mean-shift outlier regression model, is developed by combining robustness of M-estimation and stability of Tikhonov regularization. We apply our method and other parametric models on Parkinson telemonitoring dataset which is a real-world dataset in Neuroscience. Then, we compare these methods by using well-known method-free performance measures. The results indicate that the CMTMSOM method performs better than current parametric models.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 1Modeling of Kappa Factor Using Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines: Application To the Western Türkiye Ground Motion Dataset(Springer, 2024) Kurtulmus, Tevfik Ozgur; Yerlikaya-Ozkurt, Fatma; Askan, AysegulThe recent seismic activity on Turkiye's west coast, especially in the Aegean Sea region, shows that this region requires further attention. The region has significant seismic hazards because of its location in an active tectonic regime of North-South extension with multiple basin structures on soft soil deposits. Recently, despite being 70 km from the earthquake source, the Samos event (with a moment magnitude of 7.0 on October 30, 2020) caused significant localized damage and collapse in the Izmir city center due to a combination of basin effects and structural susceptibility. Despite this activity, research on site characterization and site response modeling, such as local velocity models and kappa estimates, remains sparse in this region. Kappa values display regional characteristics, necessitating the use of local kappa estimations from previous earthquake data in region-specific applications. Kappa estimates are multivariate and incorporate several characteristics such as magnitude and distance. In this study, we assess and predict the trend in mean kappa values using three-component strong-ground motion data from accelerometer sites with known VS30 values throughout western Turkiye. Multiple linear regression (MLR) and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) were used to build the prediction models. The effects of epicentral distance Repi, magnitude Mw, and site class (VS30) were investigated, and the contributions of each parameter were examined using a large dataset containing recent seismic activity. The models were evaluated using well-known statistical accuracy criteria for kappa assessment. In all performance measures, the MARS model outperforms the MLR model across the selected sites.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 6Strategic Electricity Production Planning of Turkey Via Mixed Integer Programming Based on Time Series Forecasting(Mdpi, 2023) Yoruk, Gokay; Bac, Ugur; Yerlikaya-Ozkurt, Fatma; Unlu, Kamil DemirberkThis study examines Turkey's energy planning in terms of strategic planning, energy policy, electricity production planning, technology selection, and environmental policies. A mixed integer optimization model is proposed for strategic electricity planning in Turkey. A set of energy resources is considered simultaneously in this research, and in addition to cost minimization, different strategic level policies, such as CO2 emission reduction policies, energy resource import/export restriction policies, and renewable energy promotion policies, are also considered. To forecast electricity demand over the planning horizon, a variety of forecasting techniques, including regression methods, exponential smoothing, Winter's method, and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average methods, are used, and the best method is chosen using various error measures. The optimization model constructed for Turkey's Strategic Electricity Planning is obtained for two different planning intervals. The findings indicate that the use of renewable energy generation options, such as solar, wind, and hydroelectric alternatives, will increase significantly, while the use of fossil fuels in energy generation will decrease sharply. The findings of this study suggest a gradual increase in investments in renewable energy-based electricity production strategies are required to eventually replace fossil fuel alternatives. This change not only reduces investment, operation, and maintenance costs, but also reduces emissions in the long term.

