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Now showing 1 - 10 of 131
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 5
    Citation - Scopus: 5
    A New Extended δ-shock Model With the Consideration of Shock Magnitude
    (Wiley, 2024) Lorvand, Hamed; Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this article, a new delta$$ \delta $$-shock model that takes into account the magnitude of shocks is introduced and studied from reliability perspective. According to the new model, the system breaks down if either a shock after non-critical shock occurs in a time length less than delta 1$$ {\delta}_1 $$ or a shock after a critical shock occurs in a time length less than delta 2,$$ {\delta}_2, $$ where delta 1
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 25
    Citation - Scopus: 28
    Lifetime of Multistate k-out-of-n< Systems
    (Wiley-blackwell, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    A multistate k-out-of-n system model is an extension of binary k-out-of-n system model by allowing multiple performance levels for the system and its components. Various definitions of multistate k-out-of-n system model have been proposed in the literature. Previous studies on these systems mostly focus on reliability evaluation algorithms. The present paper investigates the lifetimes of multistate systems. In particular, the lifetimes of two different multistate k-out-of-n system models are represented in terms of order statistics, and bounds and approximations are presented using these representations. The results are illustrated for a multistate system whose components' degradation occurs according to a Markov process. Copyright (C) 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 7
    Citation - Scopus: 9
    The Mean Number of Failed Components in Discrete Time Consecutive K-Out F System and Its Application To Parameter Estimation and Optimal Age-Based Preventive Replacement
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2025) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Kan, Cihangir
    It is important in many respects to have information about the number of failed components in the system when or before a system fails. This paper investigates the mean number of failed components at or before the failure time of the linear consecutive k-out-of-n:F system which is a useful structure to model various engineering systems such as transportation and transmission systems. In particular, closed form expressions for the mean number of failed components within the system that have discretely distributed components lifetimes are obtained. The results are used to estimate the unknown parameter of the components' lifetime distribution and to find the optimal replacement cycle that minimizes the expected cost per unit of time under a certain age-based replacement policy.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 9
    Citation - Scopus: 11
    Reliability of the Two-Unit Priority Standby System Revisited
    (Sage Publications Ltd, 2022) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Finkelstein, Maxim
    This paper deals with reliability assessment of the repairable two-unit cold standby system when the first, main unit has the better performance level than the second one. Therefore, after its repair, the main unit is always switched into operation. The new Laplace transform representation for the system's lifetime is obtained for arbitrary operation and repair time distributions of the units. For some particular cases, the Laplace transform of the system is shown to be rational, which enables the use of the matrix-exponential distributions for obtaining relevant reliability indices. The discrete setup of the model is also considered through the corresponding matrix-geometric distributions, which are the discrete analogs of the matrix-exponential distributions.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 17
    Citation - Scopus: 16
    A Study on Reliability of Coherent Systems Equipped With a Cold Standby Component
    (Springer Heidelberg, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, we investigate the effect of a single cold standby component on the performance of a coherent system. In particular, we focus on coherent systems which may fail at the time of the first component failure in the system. We obtain signature based expressions for the survival function and mean time to failure of the coherent systems satisfying the abovementioned property.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 7
    Citation - Scopus: 8
    Modeling Systems With Two Dependent Components Under Bivariate Shock Models
    (Taylor & Francis inc, 2019) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    Series and parallel systems consisting of two dependent components are studied under bivariate shock models. The random variables N-1 and N-2 that represent respectively the number of shocks until failure of component 1 and component 2 are assumed to be dependent and phase-type. The times between successive shocks are assumed to follow a continuous phase-type distribution, and survival functions and mean time to failure values of series and parallel systems are obtained in matrix forms. An upper bound for the joint survival function of the components is also provided under the particular case when the times between shocks follow exponential distribution.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 7
    Citation - Scopus: 8
    Analysis of the Two-Unit Cold Standby Repairable System With Damage and Repair Time Dependency Via Matrix-Exponential Distributions
    (Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2021) Kus, Coskun; Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, two-unit standby repairable system is studied via matrix-exponential distributions. The system under concern consists of one active and one standby components, and fails if either a damage size upon the failure of the active component is larger than a repair limit or the repair time of the failed unit exceeds the lifetime of the active unit, whichever happens first. Under the assumption that the damage size and repair time are statistically dependent, the Laplace transform of the system's lifetime is obtained. The Laplace transform is shown to be rational under particular cases, and the reliability evaluation of the system is performed via well-known distributional properties of the matrix-exponential distributions. The problem of estimating the unknown parameters of the operation time and repair time distributions is also discussed based on system's lifetime data.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 23
    Citation - Scopus: 26
    Optimization Problems for a Parallel System With Multiple Types of Dependent Components
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2020) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Ozkut, Murat
    This paper is concerned with two optimization problems for a parallel system that consists of dependent components. First, the problem of finding the number of elements in the system that minimizes the mean cost rate of the system is considered. The second problem is concerned with the optimal replacement time of the system. Previous work assumes that the components are independent. We discuss the impact of dropping this assumption. In particular, we numerically examine how the dependence between the components affects the optimal number of units and replacement time for the system which minimize mean cost rates. We first consider the case when the components are exchangeable and dependent, i.e. the system consists of single type of dependent components. Subsequently, we consider a system that consists of multiple types of dependent components. Comparative numerical results are presented for particularly chosen dependence models.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 12
    Citation - Scopus: 13
    A New Mixed Δ-Shock Model With a Change in Shock Distribution
    (Springer, 2023) Chadjiconstantinidis, Stathis; Tuncel, Altan; Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, reliability properties of a system that is subject to a sequence of shocks are investigated under a particular new change point model. According to the model, a change in the distribution of the shock magnitudes occurs upon the occurrence of a shock that is above a certain critical level. The system fails when the time between successive shocks is less than a given threshold, or the magnitude of a single shock is above a critical threshold. The survival function of the system is studied under both cases when the times between shocks follow discrete distribution and when the times between shocks follow continuous distribution. Matrix-based expressions are obtained for matrix-geometric discrete intershock times and for matrix-exponential continuous intershock times, as well.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 6
    Citation - Scopus: 7
    Parallel and Consecutive-k-out-of-n< Systems Under Stochastic Deterioration
    (Elsevier Science inc, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, we study parallel and consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems consisting of components which are subject to random deterioration with time. The random deterioration in resistance of a component is defined through a stochastic process. We obtain lifetime distribution of a parallel system via classical probabilistic techniques. The lifetime distribution of a consecutive-k-out-of-n:F system is derived using the lifetime distribution of parallel systems and the concept of maximal signature. We also study the optimal replacement time for a parallel system. We present illustrative computational results using MATHCAD. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.