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Article Citation - WoS: 18Citation - Scopus: 21Modeling Dependence Between Two Multi-State Components Via Copulas(Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2014) Eryilmaz, SerkanModeling statistical dependence between two systems or components is an important problem in reliability theory. Such a problem has been well studied for binary systems and components. In the present paper, we provide a way for modeling s-dependence between two multi-state components. Our method is based on the use of copulas which are very popular for modeling s-dependence. We obtain expressions for the joint state probabilities of the two components, and illustrate the results for the case when the degradation in both components follows a Markov process.Article Citation - WoS: 18Citation - Scopus: 21Component importance for linear consecutive-k-Out-of-n and m-Consecutive-k-Out-of-n systems with exchangeable components(Wiley-blackwell, 2013) Eryilmaz, SerkanMeasuring the relative importance of components in a mechanical system is useful for various purposes. In this article, we study Birnbaum and Barlow-Proschan importance measures for two frequently studied system designs: linear consecutive k -out-of- n and m -consecutive- k -out-of- n systems. We obtain explicit expressions for the component importance measures for systems consisting of exchangeable components. We illustrate the results for a system whose components have a Lomax type lifetime distribution. (c) 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013Article Citation - WoS: 7Citation - Scopus: 8Analysis of the Two-Unit Cold Standby Repairable System With Damage and Repair Time Dependency Via Matrix-Exponential Distributions(Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2021) Kus, Coskun; Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, two-unit standby repairable system is studied via matrix-exponential distributions. The system under concern consists of one active and one standby components, and fails if either a damage size upon the failure of the active component is larger than a repair limit or the repair time of the failed unit exceeds the lifetime of the active unit, whichever happens first. Under the assumption that the damage size and repair time are statistically dependent, the Laplace transform of the system's lifetime is obtained. The Laplace transform is shown to be rational under particular cases, and the reliability evaluation of the system is performed via well-known distributional properties of the matrix-exponential distributions. The problem of estimating the unknown parameters of the operation time and repair time distributions is also discussed based on system's lifetime data.Article Citation - WoS: 66Citation - Scopus: 77Generalized δ-shock model via runs(Elsevier Science Bv, 2012) Eryilmaz, SerkanAccording to the delta-shock model, the system fails when the time between two consecutive shocks falls below a fixed threshold delta. This model has a potential application in various fields such as inventory, insurance and system reliability. In this paper, we study run-related generalization of this model such that the system fails when k consecutive interarrival times are less than a threshold delta. The survival function and the mean value of the failure time of the system are explicitly derived for exponentially distributed interarrival times. We also propose a new combined shock model which considers both the magnitudes of successive shocks and the interarrival times. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 23Citation - Scopus: 26Optimization Problems for a Parallel System With Multiple Types of Dependent Components(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2020) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Ozkut, MuratThis paper is concerned with two optimization problems for a parallel system that consists of dependent components. First, the problem of finding the number of elements in the system that minimizes the mean cost rate of the system is considered. The second problem is concerned with the optimal replacement time of the system. Previous work assumes that the components are independent. We discuss the impact of dropping this assumption. In particular, we numerically examine how the dependence between the components affects the optimal number of units and replacement time for the system which minimize mean cost rates. We first consider the case when the components are exchangeable and dependent, i.e. the system consists of single type of dependent components. Subsequently, we consider a system that consists of multiple types of dependent components. Comparative numerical results are presented for particularly chosen dependence models.Article Citation - WoS: 19Citation - Scopus: 21Mean Instantaneous Performance of a System With Weighted Components That Have Arbitrarily Distributed Lifetimes(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2013) Eryilmaz, SerkanThere are various systems consisting of components which may have different contribution to the performance of the system. Such systems can be modeled systems with weighted components. In this paper, we study the mean instantaneous performance of this type of systems after successive component failures. The mean instantaneous performance is a useful characteristic to take preventive action about the system. In particular, we obtain explicit expressions for the mean instantaneous performance of a system with weighted components that have arbitrarily distributed lifetimes. We illustrate the results when the lifetime distribution of components follow proportional hazard model. Some further results are also presented for the components having exponential lifetime distribution. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 12Citation - Scopus: 13A New Mixed Δ-Shock Model With a Change in Shock Distribution(Springer, 2023) Chadjiconstantinidis, Stathis; Tuncel, Altan; Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, reliability properties of a system that is subject to a sequence of shocks are investigated under a particular new change point model. According to the model, a change in the distribution of the shock magnitudes occurs upon the occurrence of a shock that is above a certain critical level. The system fails when the time between successive shocks is less than a given threshold, or the magnitude of a single shock is above a critical threshold. The survival function of the system is studied under both cases when the times between shocks follow discrete distribution and when the times between shocks follow continuous distribution. Matrix-based expressions are obtained for matrix-geometric discrete intershock times and for matrix-exponential continuous intershock times, as well.Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 7Parallel and Consecutive-k-out-of-n< Systems Under Stochastic Deterioration(Elsevier Science inc, 2014) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, we study parallel and consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems consisting of components which are subject to random deterioration with time. The random deterioration in resistance of a component is defined through a stochastic process. We obtain lifetime distribution of a parallel system via classical probabilistic techniques. The lifetime distribution of a consecutive-k-out-of-n:F system is derived using the lifetime distribution of parallel systems and the concept of maximal signature. We also study the optimal replacement time for a parallel system. We present illustrative computational results using MATHCAD. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 20Citation - Scopus: 20(k1< k2< km< System and Its Reliability(Elsevier Science Bv, 2019) Eryilmaz, SerkanThis paper is concerned with a system consisting of multiple types of components and having (k(1), k(2),..., k(m))-out-of-n structure. The (k(1), k(2),.., k(m))-out-of-n system is a system consisting of n components of type i, i = 1, 2,..., m, and functions if at least k(1) components of type 1, k(2) components of type 2,..., k(m) components of type m work, n = Sigma(n)(i=1) n(i). The exact and approximate expressions are obtained for the survival function of the system under concern. The weighted-(k(1), k(2),..., k(m))-out-of-n system is also defined and studied. This weighted model is applied to evaluate the wind power system that consists of two wind plants. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 1Citation - Scopus: 2On the First Time of Ruin in Two-Dimensional Discrete Time Risk Model With Dependent Claim Occurrences(Taylor & Francis inc, 2018) Eryilmaz, SerkanThis article is concerned with a two-dimensional discrete time risk model based on exchangeable dependent claim occurrences. In particular, we obtain a recursive expression for the finite time non ruin probability under such a dependence among claim occurrences. For an illustration, we define a bivariate compound beta-binomial risk model and present numerical results on this model by comparing the corresponding results of the bivariate compound binomial risk model.
