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  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 12
    Citation - Scopus: 14
    The Markov Discrete Time Δ-Shock Reliability Model and a Waiting Time Problem
    (Wiley, 2022) Chadjiconstantinidis, Stathis; Eryilmaz, Serkan
    delta-shock model is one of the widely studied shock models in reliability theory and applied probability. In this model, the system fails due to the arrivals of two consecutive shocks which are too close to each other. That is, the system breaks down when the time between two successive shocks falls below a fixed threshold delta. In the literature, the delta-shock model has been mostly studied by assuming that the time between shocks have continuous distribution. In the present paper, the discrete time version of the model is considered. In particular, a proper waiting time random variable is defined based on a sequence of two-state Markov dependent binary trials and the problem of finding the distribution of the system's lifetime is linked with the distribution of the waiting time random variable, and we study the joint as well as the marginal distributions of the lifetime, the number of shocks and the number of failures associated with these binary trials.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 6
    Citation - Scopus: 7
    DISTRIBUTIONS OF RANDOM VARIABLES INVOLVED IN DISCRETE CENSORED δ-SHOCK MODELS
    (Cambridge Univ Press, 2023) Chadjiconstantinidis, Stathis; Eryilmaz, Serkan
    Suppose that a system is affected by a sequence of random shocks that occur over certain time periods. In this paper we study the discrete censored delta-shock model, delta <= 1 , for which the system fails whenever no shock occurs within a -length time period from the last shock, by supposing that the interarrival times between consecutive shocks are described by a first-order Markov chain (as well as under the binomial shock process, i.e., when the interarrival times between successive shocks have a geometric distribution). Using the Markov chain embedding technique introduced by Chadjiconstantinidis et al. (Adv. Appl. Prob. 32, 2000), we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system's lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system. The joint and marginal probability generating functions of these random variables are obtained, and several recursions and exact formulae are given for the evaluation of their probability mass functions and moments. It is shown that the system's lifetime follows a Markov geometric distribution of order (a geometric distribution of order under the binomial setup) and also that it follows a matrix-geometric distribution. Some reliability properties are also given under the binomial shock process, by showing that a shift of the system's lifetime random variable follows a compound geometric distribution. Finally, we introduce a new mixed discrete censored delta -shock model, for which the system fails when no shock occurs within a -length time period from the last shock, or the magnitude of the shock is larger than a given critical threshold . gamma > 0. Similarly, for this mixed model, we study the joint and marginal distributions of the system's lifetime, the number of shocks, and the number of periods in which no shocks occur, up to the failure of the system, under the binomial shock process.