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Publisher: SpringerSubject: Earthquakes

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    Article
    Citation - WoS: 9
    Citation - Scopus: 10
    Prediction of Potential Seismic Damage Using Classification and Regression Trees: a Case Study on Earthquake Damage Databases From Turkey
    (Springer, 2020) Yerlikaya-Ozkurt, Fatma; Askan, Aysegul
    Seismic damage estimation is an important key ingredient of seismic loss modeling, risk mitigation and disaster management. It is a problem involving inherent uncertainties and complexities. Thus, it is important to employ robust approaches which will handle the problem accurately. In this study, classification and regression tree approach is applied on damage data sets collected from reinforced concrete frame buildings after major previous earthquakes in Turkey. Four damage states ranging from None to Severe are used, while five structural parameters are employed as damage identifiers. For validation, results of classification analyses are compared against observed damage states. Results in terms of well-known classification performance measures indicate that when the size of the database is larger, the correct classification rates are higher. Performance measures computed for Test data set indicate similar success to that of Train data set. The approach is found to be effective in classifying randomly selected damage data.
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    Article
    Citation - WoS: 5
    Citation - Scopus: 7
    Lessons Learned From Four Recent Turkish Earthquakes: Sivrice-Elazığ, Aegean Sea, and Dual Kahramanmaraş
    (Springer, 2024) Tunc, Goekhan; Mertol, Halit Cenan; Akis, Tolga
    T & uuml;rkiye is located in an earthquake-prone region where almost all of its population resides in risky areas. In the past 100 years, there has been a strong earthquake every two years and a major one every 3 years. This study investigates the impact of four recent earthquakes, that occurred between 2020 and 2023, on reinforced concrete (RC) buildings. The first, Sivrice-Elaz & imath;& gbreve;, struck the eastern part of T & uuml;rkiye on January 24, 2020, with a moment magnitude of Mw = 6.8. The second, the Aegean Sea, hit the western part of the country on October 30, 2020, with an Mw of 6.6. The third and fourth are the February 6, 2023 dual Kahramanmara & scedil; earthquakes with Mws of 7.7 and 7.6, which struck the eastern part of T & uuml;rkiye approximately 9 h apart. Immediately following these earthquakes, a technical team investigated each of the damaged areas. This study summarizes their findings on RC buildings. It was discovered that the majority of the collapsed or severely damaged RC buildings were constructed before 2000. The main reasons for this included technological limitations, specifically on producing high-quality concrete, as well as a lack of public policies and enforced laws in the construction sector to maintain an acceptable international standard. Furthermore, the damage patterns of buildings from these four earthquakes indicated poor workmanship, low material quality, improper structural framing, a common appearance of soft and weak stories, the inadequate use of shear walls, and defective reinforcement configuration. The significance of soil studies and the enforcement of building inspections are also discussed, along with the earthquake codes. The study concludes that the maximum peak ground accelerations from the dual Kahramanmara & scedil; earthquakes were almost triple the code-prescribed values. Therefore, it is recommended that the current mapped spectral acceleration values be revised and that buildings constructed before 2000 should be prioritized while determining their structural performances.