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  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 15
    Citation - Scopus: 20
    A Decision Theoretic Framework for Reliability-Based Optimal Wind Turbine Selection
    (Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2022) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Navarro, Jorge
    The problem of choosing the optimal wind turbine for a specific site is of special importance in the design process of wind farm. Manifestly, the selection of the optimal wind turbine should depend on a certain criteria. In this paper, optimal wind turbine selection is studied in terms of the capacity factor of wind turbine generator and the Expected Energy not Supplied which is one of the most commonly used reliability indices for power systems. The latter one considers the load profile of the system and is suitable to compare different wind farm compositions while the former one completely ignores the load profile of the system. This paper presents general theoretical results that are helpful to compare performance of wind turbines and wind farms without data collection and further numerical assessment. In particular, the conditions on wind turbine characteristics and availability values of wind turbines are determined to compare wind turbines and wind farms in terms of the capacity factor and Expected Energy not Supplied.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 18
    Citation - Scopus: 21
    Failure Rates of Consecutive k-out-of-n< Systems
    (Springer Heidelberg, 2012) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Navarro, Jorge
    Linear and circular consecutive k-out-of-n systems are very popular models in reliability theory, survival analysis, and biological disciplines and other related lifetime sciences. In these theories, the failure rate function is a key notion for measuring the ageing process. In this paper we obtain some mixture representations for consecutive systems and we apply a mixture-based failure rate analysis for both linear and circular consecutive systems. In particular, we analyze the limiting behavior of the system failure rate when the time increases and we obtain some ordering properties. We first consider the popular case of systems with components having independent and identically distributed lifetimes. In practice, these assumptions may fail. So we also study the case of independent non-identically distributed component lifetimes. This case has special interest when a cold-standby redundancy is used for some components. In this sense, we analyze where to place the best components in the systems. Even more, we also study systems with dependent components by assuming that their lifetimes are exchangeable. (C) 2011 The Korean Statistical Society. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.