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Article Citation - WoS: 60Citation - Scopus: 64Computing Optimal Replacement Time and Mean Residual Life in Reliability Shock Models(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2017) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, matrix-based methods are presented to compute the optimal replacement time and mean residual lifetime of a system under particular class of reliability shock models. The times between successive shocks are assumed to have a common continuous phase-type distribution. The system's lifetime is represented as a compound random variable and some properties of phase-type distributions are utilized. Extreme shock model, run shock model, and generalized extreme shock model are shown to be the members of this class. Graphical illustrations and numerical examples are presented for the run shock model when the interarrival times between shocks follow Erlang distribution. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 28Citation - Scopus: 33System Reliability Under Δ-Shock Model(Taylor & Francis inc, 2018) Tuncel, Altan; Eryilmaz, Serkandelta-shock model is one of the widely studied shock models in reliability. Under this model, the system fails when the time between two consecutive shocks falls below a fixed threshold . In this paper, the survival function and the mean time to failure of the system are obtained when the times between successive shocks follow proportional hazard rate model.Article Citation - WoS: 14Citation - Scopus: 15Dynamic Modeling of General Three-State k-out-of-n< Systems: Permanent-Based Computational Results(Elsevier Science Bv, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Xie, MinThis paper is concerned with dynamic reliability analysis of three-state k-out-of-n:G systems. It is assumed that the components and the systems can be in three states: perfect functioning, partial performance and complete failure. Using the concept of permanent, we study marginal and joint survival functions for the lifetime of two different three-state k-out-of-n:G systems that consist of independent and nonidentical components. Illustrative examples are also provided for the components which follow the Markov degradation process. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 65Citation - Scopus: 75Multivariate Copula Based Dynamic Reliability Modeling With Application To Weighted-k-out-of-n< Systems of Dependent Components(Elsevier, 2014) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, a multivariate copula based modeling methodology for dynamic reliability modeling of weighted-k-out-of-n systems is applied. The system under consideration is assumed to have n dependent components each having its own weight. It has a performance level of at least k when the total weight of operating components is k or above. Copula based expressions for the survival function and mean time to failure of such a system are obtained. Extensive numerical results are presented for Clayton and Gumbel type copulas. The behavior of survival function and mean time to failure are investigated with respect to the value of Kendall's correlation coefficient. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 14Citation - Scopus: 14The Number of Failed Components in Series-Parallel System and Its Application To Optimal Design(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2020) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Ozkurt, Fatma Yerlikaya; Erkan, T. ErmanThe number of components that are failed at the time of system failure is a useful quantity since it gives an idea of how many spares should be available to replace all failed components upon the system failure. In this paper, the number of failed components is considered at subsystem and system levels for the series-parallel system that consists of K subsystems. In particular, the joint behavior of the number of failed components in each subsystem is studied when each subsystem has identical components and different subsystems have different types of components. The results are then used to find the optimal number of components in each subsystem by minimizing an expected cost per unit of time upon the system failure.Article Citation - WoS: 27Citation - Scopus: 30The Distributions of Sum, Minima and Maxima of Generalized Geometric Random Variables(Springer, 2015) Tank, Fatih; Eryilmaz, SerkanGeometric distribution of order as one of the generalization of well known geometric distribution is the distribution of the number of trials until the first consecutive successes in Bernoulli trials with success probability . In this paper, it is shown that this generalized distribution can be represented as a discrete phase-type distribution. Using this representation along with closure properties of phase-type distributions, the distributions of sum, minima and maxima of two independent random variables having geometric distribution of order are obtained. Numerical results are presented to illustrate the computational details.Article Citation - WoS: 75Citation - Scopus: 77Reliability and Optimal Replacement Policy for an Extreme Shock Model With a Change Point(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2019) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Kan, CihangirAn extreme shock model when there is a change in the distribution of the magnitudes of shocks is defined and studied. Such a model is useful in practice since a sudden change in environmental conditions may cause a larger shock. In particular, the reliability and mean time to failure of the system is obtained by assuming that the times between arrivals of shocks follow phase-type distribution. The optimal replacement policy that is based on a control limit is also proposed. The results are illustrated when the number of shocks until the change point follows geometric distribution.Article A Class of Shock Models for a System That Is Equipped With a Protection Block With an Application to Wind Turbine Reliability(Wiley, 2025) Eryilmaz, SerkanThis paper studies a class of shock models for a system that is equipped with a protection block that has its own failure rate. Under the considered class, the system exposed to shocks at random times is protected by the protection block, and the probability of the shock damaging the system varies depending on whether the protection block operates or not. The system failure criteria is defined based on the pattern of the critical/damaging shocks. Exact expressions for the reliability and mean time to failure of the system are obtained, and detailed computations are presented for the run shock model, which is included in the class. The application of the extreme shock model, which is included in the relevant class, to wind turbine reliability is also discussed.Article Citation - WoS: 9Citation - Scopus: 10Reliability and Performance Evaluation of Weighted K-out-of- N :g System Consisting of Components With Discrete Lifetimes(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2024) Eryilmaz, SerkanFor the k-out-of-n n system consisting of components that have different weights, the system is in a good state if the total weight of working components is at least k . Such a system is known to be weighted k-out-of- n :G system. Although the weighted k-out-of-n n system that has continuously distributed components' lifetimes has been extensively studied, the discrete weighted k-out-of- n :G system has not been considered yet. The present paper fills this gap by modeling and analyzing the weighted k-out-of-n:G n :G system that consists of discretely distributed components' lifetimes. In particular, the behavior of the total capacity/weight of the system with respect to the component failures is evaluated. An optimization problem that is concerned with the determination of optimal number of spare components is also formulated by utilizing the mean lost capacity of the system.Article Citation - WoS: 22Citation - Scopus: 24Computing reliability indices of repairable systems via signature(Elsevier Science Bv, 2014) Eryilmaz, SerkanThe purpose of this paper is to show the usefulness of system signature for computing some important reliability indices of repairable systems. In particular, we obtain signature-based expressions for stationary availability, rate of occurrence of failure, and mean time to the first failure of repairable systems. Using these expressions we compute corresponding reliability indices of all systems with three and four components. Computational results are also presented for consecutive-k-within-m-out-of-n:F and m-consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

