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Article Citation - WoS: 22Citation - Scopus: 23On Residual Lifetime of Coherent Systems After the rth Failure(Springer, 2013) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this article we study the residual lifetime of a coherent system after the rth failure, i.e. the time elapsed from the rth failure until the system failure given that the system operates at the time of the rth failure. We provide a mixture representation for the corresponding residual lifetime distribution in terms of signature. We also obtain some stochastic ordering results for the residual lifetimes.Article Citation - WoS: 8Citation - Scopus: 10Computing Reliability Indices of a Wind Power System Via Markov Chain Modelling of Wind Speed(Sage Publications Ltd, 2024) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Bulanik, Irem; Devrim, YilserStatistical modelling of wind speed is of great importance in the evaluation of wind farm performance and power production. Various models have been proposed in the literature depending on the corresponding time scale. For hourly observed wind speed data, the dependence among successive wind speed values is inevitable. Such a dependence has been well modelled by Markov chains. In this paper, the use of Markov chains for modelling wind speed data is discussed in the context of the previously proposed likelihood ratio test. The main steps for Markov chain based modelling methodology of wind speed are presented and the limiting distribution of the Markov chain is utilized to compute wind speed probabilities. The computational formulas for reliability indices of a wind farm consisting of a specified number of wind turbines are presented through the limiting distribution of a Markov chain. A case study that is based on real data set is also presented.Article Citation - WoS: 27Citation - Scopus: 30The Distributions of Sum, Minima and Maxima of Generalized Geometric Random Variables(Springer, 2015) Tank, Fatih; Eryilmaz, SerkanGeometric distribution of order as one of the generalization of well known geometric distribution is the distribution of the number of trials until the first consecutive successes in Bernoulli trials with success probability . In this paper, it is shown that this generalized distribution can be represented as a discrete phase-type distribution. Using this representation along with closure properties of phase-type distributions, the distributions of sum, minima and maxima of two independent random variables having geometric distribution of order are obtained. Numerical results are presented to illustrate the computational details.Article Citation - WoS: 13Citation - Scopus: 14On Mean Residual Life of Discrete Time Multi-State Systems(Nctu-national Chiao Tung Univ Press, 2013) Eryilmaz, SerkanThe mean residual life function is an important characteristic in reliability and survival analysis. Although many papers have studied the mean residual life of binary systems, the study of this characteristic for multi-state systems is new. In this paper, we study mean residual life of discrete time multi-state systems that have M + 1 states of working efficiency. In particular, we consider two different definitions of mean residual life function and evaluate them assuming that the degradation in multi-state system follows a Markov process.Article Citation - WoS: 36Citation - Scopus: 42Modeling and Analysis of Weighted-k-out-of-n< G System Consisting of Two Different Types of Components(Sage Publications Ltd, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Sarikaya, KadirThis article is concerned with the reliability analysis of a weighted-k-out-of-n: G system consisting of two types of components. The system is assumed to have n components which are classified into two groups with respect to their weight and reliability, and it is assumed to operate if the total weight of all working components exceeds a prespecified threshold k. The reliability properties of such a system are studied. The optimal values of the number of components in each group are also determined under a minimum required reliability by minimizing the total acquisition cost.Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 6Discrete Time Cold Standby Repairable System: Combinatorial Analysis(Taylor & Francis inc, 2016) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this article, we obtain exact expression for the distribution of the time to failure of discrete time cold standby repairable system under the classical assumptions that both working time and repair time of components are geometric. Our method is based on alternative representation of lifetime as a waiting time random variable on a binary sequence, and combinatorial arguments. Such an exact expression for the time to failure distribution is new in the literature. Furthermore, we obtain the probability generating function and the first two moments of the lifetime random variable.Article Citation - WoS: 26Citation - Scopus: 28Mean residual life of coherent systems consisting of multiple types of dependent components(Wiley, 2018) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Coolen, Frank P. A.; Coolen-Maturi, TahaniMean residual life is a useful dynamic characteristic to study reliability of a system. It has been widely considered in the literature not only for single unit systems but also for coherent systems. This article is concerned with the study of mean residual life for a coherent system that consists of multiple types of dependent components. In particular, the survival signature based generalized mixture representation is obtained for the survival function of a coherent system and it is used to evaluate the mean residual life function. Furthermore, two mean residual life functions under different conditional events on components' lifetimes are also defined and studied.Article Citation - WoS: 20Citation - Scopus: 15Assessment of Shock Models for a Particular Class of Intershock Time Distributions(Springer, 2022) Kus, Coskun; Tuncel, Altan; Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, delta and extreme shock models and a mixed shock model which combines delta-shock and extreme shock models are studied. In particular, the interarrival times between successive shocks are assumed to belong to a class of matrix-exponential distributions which is larger than the class of phase-type distributions. The Laplace -Stieltjes transforms of the systems' lifetimes are obtained in a matrix form. Survival functions of the systems are approximated based on the Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The results are applied for the reliability evaluation of a certain repairable system consisting of two components.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 6On Profust Reliability of Coherent Systems: Signature-Based Expressions(Sage Publications Ltd, 2013) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Rouyendegh, Babak DaneshvarIn this article we study profust reliability of non-repairable coherent systems through the concept of system signature. We obtain explicit expressions for the profust reliability and mean time to fuzzy failure of coherent systems. We compute and present mean time to failure and mean time to fuzzy failure of all coherent systems with three and four components. Finally, we illustrate the results for a well known class of coherent systems called m-consecutive-k-out-of-n:F.Article Citation - WoS: 48Citation - Scopus: 52Life Behavior of -Shock Models for Uniformly Distributed Interarrival Times(Springer, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Bayramoglu, KonulIn this paper we study the life behavior of -shock models when the shocks occur according to a renewal process whose interarrival distribution is uniform. In particular, we obtain the first two moments of the corresponding lifetime random variables for general interarrival distribution, and survival functions when the interarrival distribution is uniform.
