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Article Citation - WoS: 9Citation - Scopus: 9Mixture Representations for Three-State Systems With Three-State Components(Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2015) Eryilmaz, SerkanThis paper is concerned with dynamic reliability modeling of three-state systems consisting of three-state s-independent components. The components and the systems are assumed to be in three states: perfect functioning, partial performance, and complete failure. Survival functions of such systems are studied in different state subsets. It is shown that the survival function of a three-state system with a general structure can be represented as a mixture of the survival functions of the three-state k-out-of-n:G systems. The results are illustrated for the three-state consecutive-k-out-of-n:G systems whose components degrade according to a Markov process.Article Citation - WoS: 22Citation - Scopus: 23On Residual Lifetime of Coherent Systems After the rth Failure(Springer, 2013) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this article we study the residual lifetime of a coherent system after the rth failure, i.e. the time elapsed from the rth failure until the system failure given that the system operates at the time of the rth failure. We provide a mixture representation for the corresponding residual lifetime distribution in terms of signature. We also obtain some stochastic ordering results for the residual lifetimes.Article Citation - WoS: 14Citation - Scopus: 16Joint Reliability Importance in Coherent Systems With Exchangeable Dependent Components(Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2016) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Oruc, Ozlem Ege; Oger, VolkanIn this paper, a general formula for computing the joint reliability importance of two components is obtained for a binary coherent system that consists of exchangeable dependent components. Using the new formula, the joint reliability importance can be easily calculated if the path sets of the system are known. As a special case, an expression for the joint reliability importance of two components is also obtained for a system consisting of independent and identical components. Illustrative numerical results are presented to compare the joint reliability importance of two components in the bridge system for the two cases when the components are exchangeable dependent and when the components are independent and identical.Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 5On the Sums of Distributions of Order Statistics From Exchangeable Random Variables(Elsevier Science Bv, 2013) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, we obtain an expression between the sums of the marginal distributions of the order statistics and the common marginal distribution of an exchangeable random sequence. We also derive an expression between the sums of the joint distribution of two order statistics and the two dimensional joint distribution of an exchangeable random sequence. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 27Citation - Scopus: 30The Distributions of Sum, Minima and Maxima of Generalized Geometric Random Variables(Springer, 2015) Tank, Fatih; Eryilmaz, SerkanGeometric distribution of order as one of the generalization of well known geometric distribution is the distribution of the number of trials until the first consecutive successes in Bernoulli trials with success probability . In this paper, it is shown that this generalized distribution can be represented as a discrete phase-type distribution. Using this representation along with closure properties of phase-type distributions, the distributions of sum, minima and maxima of two independent random variables having geometric distribution of order are obtained. Numerical results are presented to illustrate the computational details.Article Citation - WoS: 77Citation - Scopus: 80Reliability and Optimal Replacement Policy for an Extreme Shock Model With a Change Point(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2019) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Kan, CihangirAn extreme shock model when there is a change in the distribution of the magnitudes of shocks is defined and studied. Such a model is useful in practice since a sudden change in environmental conditions may cause a larger shock. In particular, the reliability and mean time to failure of the system is obtained by assuming that the times between arrivals of shocks follow phase-type distribution. The optimal replacement policy that is based on a control limit is also proposed. The results are illustrated when the number of shocks until the change point follows geometric distribution.Article Citation - WoS: 13Citation - Scopus: 14On Mean Residual Life of Discrete Time Multi-State Systems(Nctu-national Chiao Tung Univ Press, 2013) Eryilmaz, SerkanThe mean residual life function is an important characteristic in reliability and survival analysis. Although many papers have studied the mean residual life of binary systems, the study of this characteristic for multi-state systems is new. In this paper, we study mean residual life of discrete time multi-state systems that have M + 1 states of working efficiency. In particular, we consider two different definitions of mean residual life function and evaluate them assuming that the degradation in multi-state system follows a Markov process.Article Citation - WoS: 22Citation - Scopus: 24Computing reliability indices of repairable systems via signature(Elsevier Science Bv, 2014) Eryilmaz, SerkanThe purpose of this paper is to show the usefulness of system signature for computing some important reliability indices of repairable systems. In particular, we obtain signature-based expressions for stationary availability, rate of occurrence of failure, and mean time to the first failure of repairable systems. Using these expressions we compute corresponding reliability indices of all systems with three and four components. Computational results are also presented for consecutive-k-within-m-out-of-n:F and m-consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 36Citation - Scopus: 42Modeling and Analysis of Weighted-k-out-of-n< G System Consisting of Two Different Types of Components(Sage Publications Ltd, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Sarikaya, KadirThis article is concerned with the reliability analysis of a weighted-k-out-of-n: G system consisting of two types of components. The system is assumed to have n components which are classified into two groups with respect to their weight and reliability, and it is assumed to operate if the total weight of all working components exceeds a prespecified threshold k. The reliability properties of such a system are studied. The optimal values of the number of components in each group are also determined under a minimum required reliability by minimizing the total acquisition cost.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 4On compound sums under dependence(Elsevier, 2017) Eryilmaz, SerkanIn this paper, we study the compound random variable S = Sigma(N)(t-1) Y-t when there is a dependence between a random variable N and a sequence of random variables {Y-t}(t >= 1). Such a compound random variable has been found to be useful in several fields including actuarial science, risk management, and reliability. In particular, we develop some results on distributional properties of the random variable S when N is a phase-type random variable that is defined on a sequence of binary trials and depends on {Y-t}(t >= 1). We "present illustrative examples and an application for the use of results in actuarial science. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
