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Article Citation - WoS: 20Citation - Scopus: 20Testing for Unit Roots in Dynamic Panels with Smooth Breaks and Cross-Sectionally Dependent Errors(Springer, 2018) Omay, Tolga; Hasanov, Mubariz; Shin, YongcheolWe develop the extended unit root testing procedure for dynamic panels characterised by slowly moving trends (SMT) and cross-section dependence (CSD). We allow SMT to follow the smooth logistic transition function and the components error terms to contain the unobserved common factors. We propose the two panel unit root test statistics, one derived by the extended common correlated effects (CCE) estimator and the other based on the Sieve bootstrap. We have conducted extensive simulation exercises and document that the failure to take into account SMT and CSD may lead to misleading inference. On the other hand, we find that both bootstrap and CCE-based tests maintain good power properties in small samples in the presence SMT and CSD. We apply our proposed tests to real interest rates for 17 OECD countries and find overwhelming evidence in favour of the Fisher hypothesis.Article Citation - WoS: 21Citation - Scopus: 26Convergence of Per Capita Energy Consumption Around the World: New Evidence From Nonlinear Panel Unit Root Tests(Elsevier, 2022) Romero-Avila, Diego; Omay, TolgaThis paper investigates the existence of stochastic and deterministic convergence in per capita energy consumption among the countries forming four income-level groups and a full sample of 110 countries over the 1971-2019 period. For that purpose, we employ six state-of-the-art nonlinear panel unit root tests with nonlinear dynamics that range from state-dependent nonlinearities such as ESTAR, AESTAR and TAR dynamics to timedependent nonlinearities of structural break form. We find consistent evidence supporting stochastic convergence among high-income and upper-middle-income countries according to two of the six panel tests. Concerning the stronger notion of deterministic convergence, three tests point to deterministic convergence among high-income countries, and only one supports this hypothesis among upper-middle-income countries. Lack of convergence across all country groups carries important policy implications concerning the achievement of SDG7 of the global 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development that affects every single country in the planet.

