Exploiting Visual Features in Financial Time Series Prediction

Abstract

The possibility to enhance prediction accuracy for foreign exchange rates was investigated in two ways: first applying an outside the box approach to modeling price graphs by exploiting their visual properties, and secondly employing the most efficient methods to detect patterns to classify the direction of movement. The approach that exploits the visual properties of price graphs which make use of density regions along with high and low values describing the shape; hence, the authors propose the name 'Finance Vision.' The data used in the predictive model consists of 1-hour past price values of 4 different currency pairs, between 2003 and 2016. Prediction performances of state-of-the-art methods; Extreme Gradient Boosting, Artificial Neural Network and Support Vector Machines are compared over the same data with the same sets of features. Results show that density based visual features contribute considerably to prediction performance.