Semiautomated Delay Analysis Method Selection for Construction Projects: A Rule-Based Approach

Abstract

Given the availability of various delay analysis methods, each yielding different results, the proper selection of an appropriate methodology is of paramount importance. Despite the necessity for automation to resolve delay conflicts, the current literature lacks an automated approach to assist contractors and project owners in reaching a consensus on selecting the most suitable delay analysis method without requiring a third party. Hence, to bridge the gap between theoretical research and practical application in achieving an automated delay analysis method, a novel rule-based expert system has been proposed. A structured, multiphase methodology that includes a review of existing methods, identification of key facts, determination of facts and expert rules, development of a forward chaining inference engine, and validation stages is used. Five real-world case examples and the decisions of experts for 15 hypothetical case examples are used for validation. The case examples demonstrate that the system can successfully automate the selection of the most appropriate delay analysis method and support a transparent, systematic approach to managing delays in construction projects. Furthermore, the system can foster consensus among project stakeholders during the selection of a delay analysis method and has the potential to contribute to the resolution of delay disputes.