Eryılmaz, Serkan

Scholarly Output Search Results

Now showing 1 - 3 of 3

Citation - WoS: 17
Citation - Scopus: 25
On the Theoretical Distribution of the Wind Farm Power When There Is a Correlation Between Wind Speed and Wind Turbine Availability
(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2020) Kan, Cihangir; Devrim, Yilser; Eryilmaz, Serkan
It is important to elicit information about the potential power output of a wind turbine and a wind farm consisting of specified number of wind turbines before installation of the turbines. Such information can be used to estimate the potential power output of the wind farm which will be built in a specific region. The output power of a wind turbine is affected by two factors: wind speed and turbine availability. As shown in the literature, the correlation between wind speed and wind turbine availability has an impact on the output of a wind farm. Thus, the probability distribution of the power produced by the farm depending on the wind speed distribution and turbine availability can be effectively used for planning and risk management. In this paper, the theoretical distribution of the wind farm power is derived by considering the dependence between turbine availability and the wind speed. The theoretical results are illustrated for real wind turbine reliability and wind speed data.
Citation - WoS: 33
Citation - Scopus: 43
Reliability Based Modeling of Hybrid Solar/Wind Power System for Long Term Performance Assessment
(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2021) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Bulanik, Irem; Devrim, Yilser
This paper is concerned with reliability based long-term performance assessment of hybrid solar/wind power system. In particular, an analytical expression is obtained for the theoretical distribution of the power output of the hybrid system by taking into account the reliability values of renewable energy components. An expression for the expected energy not supplied (EENS) is also derived and used to compute the energy index of reliability (EIR) that is directly related to EENS. Because the derived expressions involve reliability values which are related to mechanical states of the renewable energy components, the results enable us to evaluate properly the performance of the hybrid system. A numerical example is included to illustrate the results.
Citation - WoS: 18
Citation - Scopus: 21
Theoretical Derivation of Wind Plant Power Distribution With the Consideration of Wind Turbine Reliability
(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2019) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Devrim, Yilser
The wind power generated by a wind plant has a stochastic nature due to randomness in the wind speed. Although the empirical distribution of the wind power has been extensively studied by using data sets in different regions, several works focused on theoretical distribution of the wind power produced by wind turbines. In this paper, the theoretical distribution of the wind plant power is obtained. In the derivation of the distribution of the wind plant power, wind turbine reliability is taken into account. The wind plant power distribution can be effectively used if the wind speed probability distribution is known. Theoretical results are illustrated for Weibull and Bimbaum-Saunders wind speed distributions which have been found to be suitable for real data collected at two different locations.

Journal	Count
Reliability Engineering & System Safety	28
Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics	20
IEEE Transactions on Reliability	15
Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry	10
Statistics & Probability Letters	9

Eryılmaz, Serkan

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