Mehmet Fatih Ekinci

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Asymmetric Effects of Credit Growth on the Current Account Balance: Panel Data Evidence
(Springer Science and Business Media B.V., 2019) Ekinci,M.F.; Omay,T.
Expanding current account balances (both surpluses and deficits) prior to the global economic crisis dominated academic and policy debates over the past decade. Understanding the role of credit growth on the current account balance has become a priority particularly with the rebalancing experience in the post-crisis period. In this study, we adopt a comprehensive framework by constructing an empirical model that accommodates asymmetric adjustments of current account balance to the changes in the total and household credit growth. We consider the asymmetric effects in two dimensions. When we discriminate between credit expansion and contraction episodes, our results show that credit growth has a stronger negative impact on the current account balance during credit expansion periods. Furthermore, negative effects of total and household credit growth on the current account balance are more pronounced during current account deficit episodes. © 2019, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
Citation - Scopus: 1
Business Cycles and Energy Real Options Valuation
(Springer International Publishing, 2021) Kenc,T.; Ekinci,M.F.
This paper uses a real options approach to value energy projects whose cash flows follow a normal distribution and subject to macroeconomic risks. Large and irreversible energy investments are usually modelled in real options frameworks with lognormal distributions. This line of research omits two important factors for energy investments. They are the existence of negative cash flows and the impact of business cycles. We developed a unified framework to capture the implications of these omitted features. The framework is based on an arithmetic Brownian motion (ABM) process for the dynamics of cash flows with regime shifts. Our numerical analysis provide results on investment triggering cash flow critical values, probability of investing and optimal investment time. Comparing these results with those obtained under a conventional real option value framework with geometric Brownian motion (GBM) suggests that there are significant differences across these models. The results indicate that ABM investors are more likely to invest within a specified period. Numerical analysis also points that macroeconomic risks are important for investors. © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021, corrected publication 2021.
Effectiveness of macroprudential policies: Panel data evidence on the role of institutions, financial structure, and banking regulations
(Springer International Publishing, 2021) Ekinci,M.F.; Özcan,G.
The effectiveness of macro-prudential policies to mitigate credit cycles and reduce capital flow volatility is at the center of policy debates. In this chapter, we investigate the factors which influence the performance of macro-prudential tools by focusing on institutions, financial structure, and banking sector regulations. We find strong evidence indicating that macro-prudential measures are more effective when they are complemented with a tighter regulatory framework. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021. All rights reserved.

Journal	Count
Üçüncü Sektör Sosyal Ekonomi	3
Applied Operations Research and Ficial Modelling in Energy: Practical Applications and Implications	1
Business and Economics Research Journal	1
Economic Analysis and Policy	1
Applied Economics	1

Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih

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Sustainable Development Goals

NO POVERTY

ZERO HUNGER

GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING

QUALITY EDUCATION

GENDER EQUALITY

CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION

AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY

DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE

REDUCED INEQUALITIES

SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND COMMUNITIES

RESPONSIBLE CONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION

CLIMATE ACTION

LIFE BELOW WATER

LIFE ON LAND

PEACE, JUSTICE AND STRONG INSTITUTIONS

PARTNERSHIPS FOR THE GOALS

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11

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40

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3

Documents

10

Citations

46

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17

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8

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20/0

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6

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0

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13

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16

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0

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1

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0.76

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0.94

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6

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6

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