Browsing by Author "Ceylan, Nildag Basak"

Now showing 1 - 6 of 6

Citation - WoS: 3
Citation - Scopus: 3
The Effects of Japanese Economic Performance on Indonesia
(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2006) Berument, Hakan; Ceylan, Nildag Basak; Vural, Bengisu; Tourism Management; 05. School of Business; 01. Atılım University
This paper assesses how Japanese economic performance affects the Indonesian economy for the 1988 to 2004 period. The empirical evidence provided here suggests that Japanese growth appreciates the local currency in real terms, decreases the inflation and increases growth. As a side issue, we also documented that real exchange rate depreciation accelerates inflation and decreases growth in Indonesia.
Citation - WoS: 141
Citation - Scopus: 191
The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on the Economic Growth of Selected Mena Countries
(int Assoc Energy Economics, 2010) Berument, M. Hakan; Ceylan, Nildag Basak; Dogan, Nukhet; Tourism Management; Tourism Management; 05. School of Business; 01. Atılım University
This paper examines how oil price shocks affect the output growth of selected MENA countries that are considered either net exporters or net importers of this commodity, but are too small to affect oil prices. That an individual country's economic performance does not affect world oil prices is imposed on the Vector Autoregressive setting as an identifying restriction. The estimates suggest that oil price increases have a statistically significant and positive effect on the outputs of Algeria, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Oman, Qatar, Syria, and the United Arab Emirates. However, oil price shocks do not appear to have a statistically significant effect on the outputs of Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Morocco, and Tunisia. When we further decompose positive oil shocks such as oil demand and oil supply for the latter set of countries, oil supply shocks are associated with lower output growth but the effect of oil demand shocks on output remain positive.
Citation - WoS: 25
Citation - Scopus: 27
Inflation Uncertainty and Interest Rates: Is the Fisher Relation Universal?
(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2007) Berument, Hakan; Ceylan, Nildag Basak; Olgun, Hasan; Tourism Management; 05. School of Business; 01. Atılım University
This paper tests the validity of the Fisher hypothesis, which establishes a positive relation between interest rates and expected inflation, for the G7 countries and 45 developing economies. For this purpose, we estimate a version of the GARCH specification of the hypothesis for all countries included in the sample. We also test the augmented Fisher relation by including the inflation uncertainty in the equation. The simple Fisher relation holds in all G7 countries but in only 23 developing countries. There is a positive and statistically significant relationship between interest rates and inflation uncertainty for six of the G7 and 18 of the developing countries and this relationship is negative for seven developing countries.
Citation - WoS: 25
Citation - Scopus: 28
Performance of Soccer on the Stock Market: Evidence From Turkey
(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2006) Berument, Hakan; Ceylan, Nildag Basak; Gozpinar, Esin; Tourism Management; 05. School of Business; 01. Atılım University
This paper assesses the effect of soccer success on stock market returns for three major Turkish teams (Besiktas, Fenerbahce and Galatasaray) after certain characteristics of the stock market are controlled for. The empirical evidence presented here suggests that Besikta's win against foreign rivals in the Winner's Cup increases stock market returns. The same effect is not present for the other two big teams (Fenerbahce and Galatasaray). The day of the week effect on the stock market and the relationship between risk and return are also presented. (c) 2006 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Citation - WoS: 2
Predicting Financial Failure of the Turkish Banks
(World Scientific Publ Co Pte Ltd, 2006) Doganay, M. Mete; Ceylan, Nildag Basak; Aktas, Ramazan; Tourism Management; 05. School of Business; 01. Atılım University
Banks are the most important financial institutions in Turkey because other financial institutions are not developed efficiently yet. Turkish banks experienced financial difficulties and a substantial amount of banks failed in the past. This event urged the government to initiate measures to prevent banks from getting into financial difficulties. As a result of these measures, Turkish banking system currently seems to be very attractive for the foreign investors willing to invest in this sector. One of the main concerns of the foreign investors is a possibility of a new banking crisis although it is very remote at this time. The purpose of this study is to develop early warning systems predicting the financial failure at least three years ahead of financial date. A number of multivariate statistical models such as multiple regression, discriminant analysis, logit, probit are used. We found that the most appropriate model is logit. The significant variables obtained from the models explain very well the causes of the bank failures. Our models can be used to assist interested parties to predict the probability of financial failure of Turkish banks.
Citation - WoS: 16
Citation - Scopus: 19
Soccer, Stock Returns and Fanaticism: Evidence From Turkey
(Elsevier Science Bv, 2009) Berument, M. Hakan; Ceylan, Nildağ Başak; Ceylan, Nildag Basak; Ogut-Eker, Gulin; Ceylan, Nildağ Başak; Tourism Management; Tourism Management; 05. School of Business; 01. Atılım University
This paper assesses the effect of three major soccer teams' wins on the returns of the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE). We argue that the effect of soccer wins on ISE returns increases with the fanaticism of the teams' supporters. (C) 2009 Western Social Science Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.