Saygılı, Hülya
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Name Variants
H.,Saygili
S., Hulya
Saygılı, Hülya
Saygılı,H.
S.,Hulya
S., Hülya
Saygili, Hulya
Saygili,H.
Saygili, Huelya
Hülya, Saygili
H., Saygili
H.,Saygılı
Hülya, Saygılı
Saygili, Hülya
Sayglll H.
H., Saygılı
Hulya, Saygili
Saygili H.
S.,Hülya
S., Hulya
Saygılı, Hülya
Saygılı,H.
S.,Hulya
S., Hülya
Saygili, Hulya
Saygili,H.
Saygili, Huelya
Hülya, Saygili
H., Saygili
H.,Saygılı
Hülya, Saygılı
Saygili, Hülya
Sayglll H.
H., Saygılı
Hulya, Saygili
Saygili H.
S.,Hülya
Job Title
Doktor Öğretim Üyesi
Email Address
hulya.saygili@atilim.edu.tr
ORCID ID
Scopus Author ID
Turkish CoHE Profile ID
Google Scholar ID
WoS Researcher ID
Scholarly Output
5
Articles
4
Citation Count
0
Supervised Theses
1
5 results
Scholarly Output Search Results
Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
Master Thesis Türkiye'de sektörel ihracat dinamiklerinin yeniden değerlendirilmesi: Panel eşbütünleşme analizi(2023) Saygılı, Hülya; Saygılı, Hülya; International Trade and LogisticsBu çalışmanın amacı, birim işgücü maliyetleri ve bunun bileşenlerinin sektörel ihracat üzerindeki etkisini araştırmaktır. Çalışmadaki veri seti hem zaman hem de kesitsel boyutu içeren panel veri setinden oluşmaktadır. Panel veri seti Uluslararası Standart Sanayi Sınıflandırması, diğer bir adıyla 'The International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC)' altında sıralanmış 18 imalat sanayii sektörünü kapsamaktadır. Daha önce Saygılı (2010) 1995Ç1–2006Ç2 dönemi verilerini kullanarak konuyu incelemiştir. Bu çalışma 2013Ç1-2021Ç4 dönemi verileri ile çalışmanın analizlerini ve bulgularını yeniden değerlendirmektedir. Değişkenler arasındaki uzun dönem ilişkisi Pedroni eşbütünleşme testi ile analiz edilmiştir ve daha sonra Düzeltilmiş En Küçük Kareler Yöntemi (FMOLS) ile uzun dönem katsayılarına ulaşılmıştır. Pedroni eşbütünleşme analizi sonuçları, sektörel ihracat ile birim işgücü maliyetleri ve hatta bileşenleri arasında uzun dönemli eşbütünleşme ilişkisi olduğuna; FMOLS sonuçları ise ihracat ile birim işgücü maliyetleri arasındaki uzun dönem ilişkinin pozitif yönlü ancak Türk lirası ile negatif yönlü olduğuna işaret etmiştir. Saygılı (2010) sonuçları ile kıyaslandığında katsayı büyüklüklerinin zaman içerisinde ciddi değişiklikler gösterdiği ve sektörel ihracatın maliyet unsurlarına daha az duyarlı hale geldiği tespit edilmiştir. Anahtar Sözcükler: Sektörel Analiz, Birim İşgücü Maliyetleri, Panel Eşbütünleşme, İhracat Performansı, FMOLSArticle Citation Count: 0How do real and monetary integrations affect inflation dynamics?(Elsevier B.V., 2023) Saygılı, Hülya; International Trade and LogisticsThis paper examines the significance of real and monetary integrations for the inflationary dynamics of an emerging country, Turkey. The analysis accounts for 2-digit items of CPI inflation, which can be broadly categorized as tradable versus non-tradable and goods versus services. We find that a fall in the inflation gap between partner countries is mainly related to real integration whereas the co-movement of inflation is prominently driven by monetary policy co-movements. The product-type analysis shows that inflation gap in tradable items between trade partners shrinks and becomes more correlated with the (de)convergence and co-movement of real integration. © 2023Article Citation Count: 0Tradable and non-tradable inflation in Turkey: asymmetric responses to global factors(Physica-verlag Gmbh & Co, 2023) Saygılı, Hülya; Turkvatan, Aysun; International Trade and LogisticsWe contribute to the debate on the linkage between inflation regimes and globalization in several respects. First, we analyze consumer goods and services classified with respect to their tradability and content of intermediate imports. Second, we use 4-digit commodity-based price index data and the official weights of items in the consumer basket in computations. Third, we explore which states of the reference indicators are more related to low, normal or high regimes of inflation. Regimes are determined using Markov regime-switching models. Probability score analysis compares the best matching of different regimes of inflation and reference indicators. Fourth, since we use commodity-based data we perform the analysis for an emerging country, Turkey, which has not only high trade openness and high global integration rate but also implements inflation targeting regime. Findings suggest that relevance of the reference indicators for predicting inflation depends on: the share of tradable items in the consumer basket, imported intermediate content of items in the consumer basket, the regime of inflation and invoicing currency.Article Citation Count: 0Oil Price Pass-Through on Sector-Level Prices: Evidence from Turkey(2023) Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih; Saygılı, Hülya; Saygılı, Hülya; Economics; International Trade and LogisticsAs energy dependency is one of the main drivers of rising global inflation, understanding the sectoral outlook for the effects of oil prices on inflation is crucial. This paper investigates oil price pass-through to consumer prices in Turkey utilizing a Phillips Curve estimation approach. Extending the results in the literature, we estimate Brent crude petroleum price pass-through coefficients for the 2-digit sectoral components of the consumer price index. Then, we compare the sector-level pass-through rates to the ones obtained from the headline and core inflation. We also apply a recursive estimation modeling to track pass-through behavior over time for each inflation series. The paper has several conclusions. First, the long-run oil price pass-through to headline inflation is around 7%. Second, pass-through to the core and sectoral inflation rates exhibit a significant amount of variation from headline inflation. Results with core inflation rates depend on whether energy prices are included or excluded from the consumer basket. Third, the sectoral pass-through rate depends on the weight of the energy-related items in that sector. Our findings suggest that the transport sector has the highest degree of pass-through. Fourth, the rate of pass-through to all prices increases following the hikes in inflation rates in September 2018 and October 2021.Article Citation Count: 0Production Fragmentation and Transport Mode Choice in EU-28 Exports(Routledge, 2024) Saygılı, Hülya; Saygılı,H.; International Trade and LogisticsThis study uses detailed data on exports from the European Union (EU-28) to non-EU countries to investigate the impact of global production fragmentation on the choice of transportation modes. The article finds a positive relationship between production fragmentation and air transportation. The study also finds that air transportation is more likely to be chosen for high-value products. Additionally, the positive effect of production fragmentation on the likelihood of using air transportation is more pronounced when goods are exported to medium-range markets, upper-middle-income countries, countries with better air transportation infrastructure, and time-sensitive products. © 2024 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.
