Eryılmaz, Serkan
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E., Serkan
Eryilmaz, S
E.,Serkan
S., Eryilmaz
Eryılmaz, Serkan
Eryilmaz, S.
Eryilmaz,S.
Eryilmaz, Serkan
S.,Eryılmaz
Eryilmaz S.
Serkan, Eryılmaz
Erylmaz S.
Eryılmaz S.
Eryilmaz, SN
S., Eryılmaz
Eryılmaz,S.
Serkan, Eryilmaz
S.,Eryilmaz
EryIlmaz S.
Eryilmaz S., Professor,
Eryilmaz, S
E.,Serkan
S., Eryilmaz
Eryılmaz, Serkan
Eryilmaz, S.
Eryilmaz,S.
Eryilmaz, Serkan
S.,Eryılmaz
Eryilmaz S.
Serkan, Eryılmaz
Erylmaz S.
Eryılmaz S.
Eryilmaz, SN
S., Eryılmaz
Eryılmaz,S.
Serkan, Eryilmaz
S.,Eryilmaz
EryIlmaz S.
Eryilmaz S., Professor,
Job Title
Profesor Doktor
Email Address
serkan.eryilmaz@atilim.edu.tr
ORCID ID
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Scholarly Output
174
Articles
163
Citation Count
2501
Supervised Theses
2
174 results
Scholarly Output Search Results
Now showing 1 - 10 of 174
Article The Markov Discrete Time Δ-Shock Reliability Model and a Waiting Time Problem(Wiley, 2022) Chadjiconstantinidis, Stathis; Eryilmaz, Serkan; Industrial Engineeringdelta-shock model is one of the widely studied shock models in reliability theory and applied probability. In this model, the system fails due to the arrivals of two consecutive shocks which are too close to each other. That is, the system breaks down when the time between two successive shocks falls below a fixed threshold delta. In the literature, the delta-shock model has been mostly studied by assuming that the time between shocks have continuous distribution. In the present paper, the discrete time version of the model is considered. In particular, a proper waiting time random variable is defined based on a sequence of two-state Markov dependent binary trials and the problem of finding the distribution of the system's lifetime is linked with the distribution of the waiting time random variable, and we study the joint as well as the marginal distributions of the lifetime, the number of shocks and the number of failures associated with these binary trials.Article Modeling of Claim Exceedances Over Random Thresholds for Related Insurance Portfolios(Elsevier, 2011) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Gebizlioglu, Omer L.; Tank, Fatih; Industrial EngineeringLarge claims in an actuarial risk process are of special importance for the actuarial decision making about several issues like pricing of risks, determination of retention treaties and capital requirements for solvency. This paper presents a model about claim occurrences in an insurance portfolio that exceed the largest claim of another portfolio providing the same sort of insurance coverages. Two cases are taken into consideration: independent and identically distributed claims and exchangeable dependent claims in each of the portfolios. Copulas are used to model the dependence situations. Several theorems and examples are presented for the distributional properties and expected values of the critical quantities under concern. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Reliability-Based Evaluation of Hybrid Wind-Solar Energy System(Sage Publications Ltd, 2021) Devrim, Yilser; Eryilmaz, Serkan; Industrial Engineering; Energy Systems EngineeringIn this article, a hybrid system that consists of a specified number of wind turbines and solar modules is considered. In particular, the system is modeled using weightedk-out-of-nsystem which is also known as a threshold system in reliability literature. The system under concern consists ofn1identical wind turbines andn2identical solar modules, and each turbine and module can be in one of two states as working or failed. The probability that the entire hybrid system withn=n1+n2components produces power at minimum levelkis computed and evaluated. The importance of single-wind turbine and solar module is also calculated to measure which renewable energy component is more critical and important. Extensive numerical results that are based on real data set are presented to illustrate the model.Article Reliability Assessment for Discrete Time Shock Models Via Phase-Type Distributions(Wiley, 2021) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Kan, Cihangir; Industrial EngineeringIn this paper, particular shock models are studied for the case when the times between successive shocks and the magnitudes of shocks have discrete phase-type distributions. The well-known shock models such as delta shock model, extreme shock model, and the mixed shock model which is obtained by combining delta and extreme shock models are considered. The probability generating function and recursive equation for the distribution of the system's lifetime are obtained for the cases when the interarrival times between shocks and the magnitudes of shocks are independent and when they are dependent. System reliability is computed for particular interarrival distributions such as geometric, negative Binomial and generalized geometric distributions.Article Geometric Distribution of Order k With a Reward(Elsevier Science Bv, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Industrial EngineeringIn this paper, we introduce and study geometric distribution of order k with a reward. In a sequence of binary trials, suppose that each time a success occurs a random reward is received. The distribution of the number of trials until the sum of consecutive rewards is equal to or exceeds the level k is called geometric distribution of order k with a reward. We obtain expressions for the probability mass function of this distribution. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article On Optimal Age Replacement Policy for a Class of Coherent Systems(Elsevier, 2020) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Eryılmaz, Serkan; Pekalp, Mustafa Hilmi; Eryılmaz, Serkan; Industrial Engineering; Industrial EngineeringAccording to the well-known age replacement policy, the system is replaced preventively at time t or correctively at system failure, whichever occurs first. For a coherent system consisting of components having common failure time distribution which has increasing failure rate, we present necessary conditions for the existence of the unique optimal value which minimizes the mean cost rate. The conditions are mainly based on the signature which only depends on the system's structure. The results are illustrated for linear and circular consecutive type systems. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article The Number of Failed Components Upon System Failure When the Lifetimes Are Discretely Distributed(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2022) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Yalcin, Femin; Industrial EngineeringThe number of failed components at the time when the system fails is an important quantity which can be effectively used in the determination of the optimal number of spares. This paper is concerned with the distribution and expected value of this quantity when the lifetimes of a given coherent system are discretely distributed. In particular, the distribution of the corresponding random quantity is derived for all coherent systems of order three and four. The mean number of the failed components upon system failure is exactly derived for a linear consecutive-2-out-of-n:F structure. The mean of the quantity under concern is also computed for series and parallel systems consisting of disjoint modules. The latter computation provides an efficient way to obtain the corresponding mean for a larger system via the modules which have smaller number of components.Article The Lost Capacity by the Weighted k-out-of-n< System Upon System Failure(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2021) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Ucum, Kaan Ayberk; Industrial EngineeringA k-out-of-n. system with weighted components is a system that consists of components contribute differently to the overall performance of the system, and functions if the total weight/contribution of all working components exceeds or equal to the level k.. Such a system is useful and suitable for modeling capacity based systems such as power systems, transportation systems and manufacturing systems. This paper is concerned with the lost capacity by the weighted-k-out-of-n. system at the time when the system fails. This random quantity is useful for making an optimal decision about the spare capacity that should be available to renew the system upon its failure. In particular, the distribution of this random quantity is derived and the theoretical results are illustrated for a power system consisting of a specified number of generating units.Article Reliability Properties of Systems With Two Exchangeable Log-Logistic Components(Taylor & Francis inc, 2012) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Industrial EngineeringIn this article, we study the reliability properties of systems under bivariate log-logistic model which comes out from a particular stress-strength analysis. For this model, we obtain basic reliability characteristics of series and parallel systems and investigate their properties. We also derive distribution and moments of cold standby system under the above mentioned exchangeable model.Article Age Based Preventive Replacement Policy for Discrete Time Coherent Systems With Independent and Identical Components(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2023) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Industrial EngineeringThe paper is concerned with an age based preventive replacement policy for an arbitrary coherent system that consists of components that are independent and have common discrete lifetime distribution. The system having an arbitrary structure is replaced preventively after a specific number of cycles or correctively at its failure time. The necessary conditions for the unique and finite replacement cycle that minimize the expected cost per unit of time are obtained. The policy is studied for some particular system models including the well-known k-out-of -n structure. The findings of the paper extend the results in the literature from single unit and parallel systems to an arbitrary coherent system. Numerical results are presented for particular discrete component lifetime distributions.