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Now showing 1 - 10 of 167
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 25
    Citation - Scopus: 33
    Dynamic Behavior of k-out-of-n< Systems
    (Elsevier, 2011) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Erylmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, we study the distribution and expected value of the number of working components at time t in usual and weighted k-out-of-n:G systems under the condition that they are working at time t. We evaluate the distribution of the corresponding conditional random variable and compute its expected value for the systems consisting of independent but nonidentical components. Illustrative examples are presented and an optimization problem which makes use of the conditional random variable is also formulated and solved numerically. (c) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
  • Conference Object
    Citation - WoS: 9
    Citation - Scopus: 12
    Stochastic Comparisons Between Lifetimes of Reliability Systems With Exchangeable Components
    (Springer, 2016) Koutras, Markos V.; Triantafyllou, Ioannis S.; Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this article we present several results pertaining to the stochastic comparison of the lifetimes of two reliability systems with exchangeable components. More specifically, we provide signature-based sufficient and necessary conditions for establishing hazard rate and reverse hazard rate orderings. Finally, focusing on the class of consecutive-type systems, we illustrate how the general results can be exploited to deduce several stochastic orderings among members of this class.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 61
    Citation - Scopus: 64
    Computing Optimal Replacement Time and Mean Residual Life in Reliability Shock Models
    (Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2017) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, matrix-based methods are presented to compute the optimal replacement time and mean residual lifetime of a system under particular class of reliability shock models. The times between successive shocks are assumed to have a common continuous phase-type distribution. The system's lifetime is represented as a compound random variable and some properties of phase-type distributions are utilized. Extreme shock model, run shock model, and generalized extreme shock model are shown to be the members of this class. Graphical illustrations and numerical examples are presented for the run shock model when the interarrival times between shocks follow Erlang distribution. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 3
    Citation - Scopus: 3
    On the Mean Number of Remaining Components in Three-State k-out-of-n< System
    (Elsevier Science Bv, 2015) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Eryılmaz, Serkan; Eryılmaz, Serkan; Industrial Engineering; Industrial Engineering
    A three-state k-out-of-n system with n independent components is considered, where the vector k of integers is determined by given fixed scalars k(1) and k(2) such that k(1), k(2) <= n. The mean number of components of each type either in a perfect functioning state or in a partially working state at the time of the system failure and at a time while the system is working are studied. An optimization problem concerned with the most economical value of n is also formulated. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 18
    Citation - Scopus: 21
    Modeling Dependence Between Two Multi-State Components Via Copulas
    (Ieee-inst Electrical Electronics Engineers inc, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    Modeling statistical dependence between two systems or components is an important problem in reliability theory. Such a problem has been well studied for binary systems and components. In the present paper, we provide a way for modeling s-dependence between two multi-state components. Our method is based on the use of copulas which are very popular for modeling s-dependence. We obtain expressions for the joint state probabilities of the two components, and illustrate the results for the case when the degradation in both components follows a Markov process.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 18
    Citation - Scopus: 21
    Component importance for linear consecutive-k-Out-of-n and m-Consecutive-k-Out-of-n systems with exchangeable components
    (Wiley-blackwell, 2013) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    Measuring the relative importance of components in a mechanical system is useful for various purposes. In this article, we study Birnbaum and Barlow-Proschan importance measures for two frequently studied system designs: linear consecutive k -out-of- n and m -consecutive- k -out-of- n systems. We obtain explicit expressions for the component importance measures for systems consisting of exchangeable components. We illustrate the results for a system whose components have a Lomax type lifetime distribution. (c) 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 10
    Citation - Scopus: 11
    Consecutive k-out-of-n< Lines With a Change Point
    (Sage Publications Ltd, 2016) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    Reliability analysis of consecutive k-out-of-n systems and their generalizations has attracted a great deal of attention in the literature. Such systems have been used to model telecommunication networks, oil pipeline systems, vacuum systems in accelerators, spacecraft relay stations, etc. In this paper, nonrecursive closed form equations are presented for the reliability functions and mean time to failure values of consecutive k-out-of-n systems consisting of two types of nonidentical components. The results are illustrated for reliability evaluation of oil pipeline system.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 7
    Citation - Scopus: 7
    A Generalized Class of Correlated Run Shock Models
    (de Gruyter Poland Sp Zoo, 2018) Yalcin, Femin; Eryilmaz, Serkan; Bozbulut, Ali Riza
    In this paper, a generalized class of run shock models associated with a bivariate sequence {(X-i, Y-i)}(i >= 1) of correlated random variables is defined and studied. For a system that is subject to shocks of random magnitudes X-1, X-2, ... over time, let the random variables Y-1, Y-2, ... denote times between arrivals of successive shocks. The lifetime of the system under this class is defined through a compound random variable T = Sigma(N)(t=1) Y-t, where N is a stopping time for the sequence {Xi}(i >= 1) and represents the number of shocks that causes failure of the system. Another random variable of interest is the maximum shock size up to N, i.e. M = max {X-i, 1 <= i <= N}Distributions of T and M are investigated when N has a phase-type distribution.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 4
    Citation - Scopus: 6
    On Profust Reliability of Coherent Systems: Signature-Based Expressions
    (Sage Publications Ltd, 2013) Eryilmaz, Serkan; Rouyendegh, Babak Daneshvar
    In this article we study profust reliability of non-repairable coherent systems through the concept of system signature. We obtain explicit expressions for the profust reliability and mean time to fuzzy failure of coherent systems. We compute and present mean time to failure and mean time to fuzzy failure of all coherent systems with three and four components. Finally, we illustrate the results for a well known class of coherent systems called m-consecutive-k-out-of-n:F.
  • Article
    Citation - WoS: 66
    Citation - Scopus: 76
    Multivariate Copula Based Dynamic Reliability Modeling With Application To Weighted-k-out-of-n< Systems of Dependent Components
    (Elsevier, 2014) Eryilmaz, Serkan
    In this paper, a multivariate copula based modeling methodology for dynamic reliability modeling of weighted-k-out-of-n systems is applied. The system under consideration is assumed to have n dependent components each having its own weight. It has a performance level of at least k when the total weight of operating components is k or above. Copula based expressions for the survival function and mean time to failure of such a system are obtained. Extensive numerical results are presented for Clayton and Gumbel type copulas. The behavior of survival function and mean time to failure are investigated with respect to the value of Kendall's correlation coefficient. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.